Morning Sankey 3/18/21

By Paul Sankey Published on March 18, 2021 at 8:49 AM

Yesterday’s DOE data was brutal for US refiners and particularly PBF. We had been hoping for a much more bullish picture – we got increases in crude AND product inventories. Imports surged particularly into New York Harbor – hence the PBF reference – as European refiners, desperate for market, scramble to attack the surge in gasoline prices caused by the Texas Crisis. This should be a brutal month for refiners, as the quarter ends and […]

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Morning Generac 2/16/21

By Paul Sankey Published on February 16, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Big growing move in Treasuries. Supports long oil and growth to value rotation. We always said that the Fed will not get inflation without oil inflation. The continuation of the theory was that the Fed/Treasury can control dollar printing, and buying US$. But what is the major factor over which they have zero control? Oil. And now natural gas. The point is that treasury rates are moving, quite aggressively by the standards. Charts at end […]

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Morning Joe

By Paul Sankey Published on January 5, 2021 at 8:41 AM

Valero webinar today! Me vs CEO Joe Gorder and team. Not too late to register on Briefly OPEC+ noted: Russia wants to increase production, to satisfy its own private oil companies and probably thinking of inflicting sustained pain on US E&Ps as much as anything. Saudi wants to maintain cutback discipline, probably concerned about future oil supply shortages if the global industry faces another year of low prices in the $40/bbl on high OPEC […]

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