Morning War in Europe

By Paul Sankey Published on August 12, 2022 at 9:25 AM

We like the long oil trade here, explained Europe is at war. Russian/EU gas expert Jim Henderson was stark on our call: Russia is waging full scale economic war on Europe. Winter is coming. Darling! I never knew you cared Bull trade in oils is back on, in our view. First, we contend that oil equities often predict the next move in oil, the commodity. As shown below, over the past five days E&Ps (and […]

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Exciting Events, Tourmaline

By Paul Sankey Published on August 9, 2022 at 5:34 PM

Delighted to say that Dr James Henderson is on Happy Hour Strategy Session this week A PREMIUM EVENT. Henderson is an expert in Russia. He started at Amerada Hess, then joined Wood Mackenzie in Edinburgh, where to my eternal gratitude, he was directly responsible for hiring me to join Wood Mac. Great times, Wood Mac and Edinburgh, where my 3 kids were born. Jim moved on from Wood Mac to Russia, heading research at Renaissance […]

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Morning China dis-inflation (to inflation)

By Paul Sankey Published on July 13, 2022 at 12:03 PM

Rampant inflation globally, underlined by today’s US CPI print has an extraordinary backdrop – China has been dis-inflationary. In certain key markets, notably crude oil and above all LNG, China demand has been negative at the margin in terms of demand growth, with significant roll-overs from previous rampant import growth. Assuming China works through its COVID issues and pursues its 2022 GDP growth plan, a re-acceleration in demand for key commodities seems certain, particularly in […]

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