Morning Saudi Did What?

By Paul Sankey Published on January 6, 2021 at 8:41 AM

Sankey raising Brent oil price forecast to $54/bbl for 2021 (from $45) and $58/bbl for 2022 (from $56). Sankey raising WTI oil price forecast to $52/bbl for 2021 (from $42) and $55/bbl for 2022 (unch). It’s difficult to unpack what just happened to oil markets in terms of Saudi Arabia’s shock move to unilaterally “gift” cut production by 1mb/d for February and March; right down to 8.1mb/d, the very low of their historic production levels. […]

Read More

Morning Elon Ma

By Paul Sankey Published on January 4, 2021 at 8:45 AM

Refining conference today! Not to late to register on www.sankeyresearch.com Strong delivery numbers from Chinese automakers over the weekend followed on from Tesla’s dash to the line for 2020 which fell just short – within the margin of error – for its 500,000 annual target for 2020, which is indeed a very impressive achievement. There were reports of Tesla asking existing customers for help in delivering vehicles. One mystery to us is how the company […]

Read More

Morning X-Ys Club

By Paul Sankey Published on November 25, 2020 at 8:47 AM

Last week we published a chart showing the x-y plot of trailing year-to-date free cashflow vs volume growth for the big oil group. This if you remember, prompted Silvio’s legendary joke when I called him to tell him I was having a nightmare with x-y charts, which he misheard to be “having a nightmare with ex-wife chat”. Anyway, a major Long Only investor replied immediately to the note last week pointing out that the chart […]

Read More