Natgas Prices, Arbs, $AR, and Snoop

By Paul Sankey Published on June 15, 2022 at 7:01 AM

Our main concern about the Freeport LNG export outage is that it inspires some “consumer hero” politician in Washington to justify an export ban on oil & gas. The price impact of a cut to gas exports was dramatic yesterday, -15% on spot Henry Hub; Freeport said it would be out for 90 days, end 2022 full resumption. It is imperative that Washington understands the importance of free trade and the role in US oil […]

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Friday: OPEC meeting continues

By Paul Sankey Published on December 3, 2021 at 9:03 AM

So the December 2021 OPEC did not end. But the working decision was to increase production. Having not met the previous decision to increase production. OPEC+ also decided to continue to require those that had exceeded previous quotas, should still have to cut back to make up for excess production previously, with lack of production currently. Yep, it’s a mess, and in this note I publish a table that tries to make sense of it […]

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Morning Sankey 10/29/21

By Paul Sankey Published on October 29, 2021 at 9:45 AM

Last night on Happy Hour I was complaining that my calls are stone-cold right now, and sure enough, the theory that Chevron would have a messy quarter just got blown out of the water. Actually, I will take it, because my thesis all year has been long oils / short Big Tech, and these past two weeks, with feeble earnings from Oil Service, Kinder, Range Resources, EQT, badly received results from Hess (raising capex for […]

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