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Morning Bullish Sankey

Very interesting Happy Hour yesterday… and an overwhelming sense of bullishness swept over me! How can this be when the oil market is still struggling so badly? Well… a couple of things. But first, it’s Friday, and this is the Friday Sankey, so its JOKE TIME. What’s the biggest lie in American politics in 2020? You have 2 minutes uninterrupted.Please respond to your opponent’s total ignoring of the question. You have two minutes.A fly on […]

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8:27 AM

Propane Sankey

Yet another bull point on propane. The Morning Sankey goes down the rabbit hole. New York City has made outdoor dining permanent, and the City has lifted the post-911 ban on propane canisters in Manhattan (welders were excepted). With indoor dining limited to 25% capacity, operating restaurants are dependent on outdoor dining, and there has been a scramble to buy propane heaters. My neighbour manages three restaurants and said he was about to buy 15 […]

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10:02 AM

Sunday Sankey 9/20/20

Good day! A chill September wind is blowing across Brooklyn Heights, as summer officially ends and fall very much starts. The market is feeling chills too, with COVID continuing to present a major challenge to policy-makers globally. We remain extremely frustrated by the excessive lock down requirements in New York despite effectively zero COVID. With massive testing, less than 1% positives are being found, and essentially no deaths (statistically speaking). This past week we quoted […]

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11:37 AM

Where is oil as Laura hits? Morning Sankey 8/27/20

Corporate newsflow remains quiet, with the market awaiting more details on the historic announcement from BP on its climate change plans, due September 14th-16th. Several major US oil investors consider this BP move a 100-year strategy shift for big oil. Notably the stunning -40% oil and gas production reduction, as a strategy pillar. US investors remain cynical, the most negative seeing the announcement as a smokescreen for the dividend cut. Elsewhere re-injection issues for ExxonMobil/Hess […]

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8:35 AM

Morning Sankey Biden Time

Washington Brief: the latest Biden energy plan announced yesterday is essentially roll up of the AOC/Bernie Sanders Green New Deal and Nancy Pelosi’s recent HEROES Act, not passed by the Senate, which represent huge – multi-trillion – US$ government spending. Intelligence from Washington: if the Democrats sweep in November, it’s happening. Intelligence from Washington: will the Democrats sweep in November? Yes. These are opinions based on public facts, but informed and respected opinions. Meanwhile, also […]

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8:50 AM

Morning Sankey 7/13/20

Well, there goes another bankruptcy. Hi Crush ($HCR), the Frac sand play has filed with some $500m in debt. As readers of the Sunday Sankey yesterday https://www.sankeyresearch.com/2020/07/12/sunday-sankey-7-12-20/ can see , the collapse in US E&P activity has been extraordinarily severe in terms of rigs, and equally severe in terms of Frac Spreads. Running at 350 crews as recently as Mid-January 2020 (see chart below), by May 2020 spreads dropped below 50 and currently stand at […]

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7:40 AM

Dakota Access Shock

PSXP stock is getting hit hard on today’s surprise Dakota Access shutdown ruling, alongside Energy Transfer (ET) and Bakken players such as Contintental, OAS, WPX, NOG and diverse names such as MRO. Winners: Canadian suppliers, Permian and other Basins than Bakken, and in refining “Valero wins by not losing.” Of course in the grand scheme of things, the most environmentally-friendly way to move oil is by new pipeline, less by rail, least by truck. But […]

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4:07 PM
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