Quote of the day: In a war of ego, the loser always wins

Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

DOE data: Don’t Break the Rules; Merely Test Their Elasticity.

Yet again, we find the Hormuz situation has actually deteriorated. CNBC today interviewed Israeli PM Netanyahu. He remains hard line, talking Iranian regime collapse. Bond vigilantes are marauding today, 30 year going through 5% again. Equity market doesn’t like it. And when they write the history of the AI bubble 2022-2027, the issuance by Google of $80bn of stock in early June 2026 will be one red line that was crossed. We have said Argentina

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Replay: Brett Gibbs BI on Biofuels outlook

Dear Premium Subscriber, thanks so much for your support. Part of the refining bull case here is the soaring cost of Renewable Identification Numbers (RINs) and the biofuel market tightness in general. I thought Brett Gibbs of Bloomberg Intelligence did a great job of covering the story in one hour. The replay starts around 12mins in terms of actual content. Replay here: https://analysthub.zoom.us/rec/share/NhhB3zUBjgnL5ku-yC4foMLUH2YcpNH1VFCVsHb-FN3Fhj9SGs3AlXaMPyj1drq-.GM_0DATdhkRhx8jX Below, D6 and D4 RINs, not gaining much attention in terms of

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

US Gasoline: June trembled like a butterfly

Amazing to watch May 2026 pass so fast, and Hormuz still all-but shut. Everybody points to June as the month in which things turn ugly in terms of tank bottoms, and price going exponentially higher seeking to destroy demand. But bottom line, prices are lower, and everyone is still merrily flying around. In this note we re-visit our JetFuel thesis – as we witness record flights, what’s the problem? We conclude that the key answer

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