Quote of the day: In a war of ego, the loser always wins

Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Midday Product & Tanker not Crude Shortage

Greetings, Today, very shortly, 4pm Zoom Michelle Brouhard, Head of Policy & Geopolitical Risk at Kpler [global leading satellite/data intelligence focused on commodity markets]. A former oil trader and hedge fund player, Michelle is an expert in global oil balances, working for the premium oil flow intelligence player, Kpler. Register here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michelle-brouhard-head-of-policy-geopolitical-risk-at-kpler-interest-form/ ~ 1. The problem: refinery capacity and ships, not crude supply My thoughts have been occupied with the global refining and oil product

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Morning Timing Effects & Cease Fires

Greetings, Again, we have just the person for the job. Kpler. Michelle Brouhard on Happy Hour tomorrow. In this note we take a quick look at what will be horrible reported Q1 numbers from the major oils, driven by timing effects rather than underlying business performance, although both Shell and ExxonMobil who put out guidance today, have direct, major, costly damage in the Gulf from Iranian attacks on Qatar. Particularly, Shell CEO Wael Sawan described

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Easter Sunday Peace be with You

Easter Sunday, April 5, 2026. Heading to Church at 7pm. Time to pray, I’ll lob one in for you. We are not yet at the point of Foxhole Prayers, more like damage limitation prayers, but let’s face it, things keep getting worse. Special forces battle to recover downed US airman near… Khuzestan. Regular readers will know it is historically Arabistan. Shocking, bizarre Tweet by President Trump this morning. Under Nixon’s “Madman theory of war” you

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