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Quote of the day: Pelé: “Success is no accident. It is hard work, perseverance, learning, studying, sacrifice, and most of all, love of what you are doing or learning to do.”
Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

You, Me, and the UAE; Oil Export Volumes, History & Present Situation

Illustrated below, Hormuz flows split crude oil vs products. We note the extent to which the war has interrupted oil product supplies globally, especially to Asia and Europe. Source: Kpler, Sankey Research, Claude The market tends to focus on the crude oil impact, but in reality it is gasoline trading at $150/bbl wholesale, not crude at $90/bbl. We did not quite get the celebrated $250/bbl, but Asian jet fuel hit $240.50/bbl on 4 March —

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Paul Sankey August 1, 2026 3:37 PM
Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Happy Hour, C’est Moi: Open mike today, next Thursday Valero Head of Trading

Today, if anyone wants to join, I will do an open mike session as our Happy Hour this week. 4pm ET by Zoom. It might be just you and me if you dial in. Which is good by me. I made a presentation to 100 insurance executives yesterday and I have been on both Bloomberg TV and Radio this morning, so I am rapping. Open Mike Discussion July 30th 2026: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-open-mic-interest-form/ Things to chat about:

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Paul Sankey July 30, 2026 12:54 PM
Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Riding the Oilfield Service Rodeo, with HAL, PUMP, and WTF

Publishing a note on Sunday has become existential for me, so I apologise for not getting this note out yesterday. This is my Sunday note… so late it is on a Monday. I have stripped it down to be mostly about Halliburton. What started as a quick look at Halliburton’s results for Sunday, then got tangled with Liberty Energy down -25% on its results last week, SLB results then had that stock moving strongly higher

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Paul Sankey July 27, 2026 7:33 PM
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