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Quote of the day: In a war of ego, the loser always wins
Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Gulf War III Week 2 – Tanker Passage, What Tanker Passage?

Well, that was quite a week. And there it is, oil through $100/bbl on the Tokyo open. It is blatantly clear that the Trump Administration had zero, nada, nothing, as contingency plan for Iran declaring the Strait of Hormuz shut to transit. Even now, their $20bn insurance knee jerk response has been completely ineffective. We are facing the largest overall oil & gas volume outage of my career, which started in 1990, Gulf War 1.

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Paul Sankey March 8, 2026 7:56 PM
Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

AI Chips: Taiwan, LNG, Helium, Qatar, and Hormuz

We covered Qatar in a note & conference call in this first week of Gulf War III. Who controls the Strait of Hormuz? Iran within the China axis, with Russian support. As of today. Arguably the US needs boots on the ground to control the Iranian side of the Straits. On Friday the head of QatarGas and Qatar energy minister Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi went front page in the Financial Times to highlight the sustained outage

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Paul Sankey March 7, 2026 3:44 PM

Qatar/Global LNG Zoom Call Replay for Premium Clients (you)

Great call by Gordon Shearer and Ira Joseph, in a tight hour and five minutes. Impressive stuff, with just the right mix of agreement and divergence. https://analysthub.zoom.us/rec/share/v1JXsMqaeTzUoF0xKt4R53Jba_ElQ8yLAFQcgozce1aYJUWwooFZQzUr2jEz6elc.RJ0a8ilz6ItNKh7r Key stories I missed in Qatar note. 1) No emergency shutdown, it was orderly. Big difference 2) This story was described as almost bigger than the Qatar story. No LNG tanker has ever exploded, much less sunk, in the industry’s history. All seaborne trade is now higher risk.

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Paul Sankey March 6, 2026 6:35 AM
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